Science

The science behind the numbers

S.C.O.U.T.'s readings only mean something in the context of established reef science. This page explains what it tracks, the thermal-stress and bioacoustic methods behind the numbers, and their limitations.

What S.C.O.U.T. tracks

The signals and what we derive

S.C.O.U.T. samples a small set of environmental signals and turns each into a reviewed metric. Temperature and turbidity transmit daily; the reef soundscape is recorded and analysed on board.

Each signal, its sensor, and the metrics the pipeline produces.
SignalSensorWhat S.C.O.U.T. derives
Water temperatureDigital thermometer (DS18B20)Daily mean, HotSpot, Degree Heating Weeks, bleaching alert level
TurbidityOptical transmittance sensor (Seeed Grove)Daily median, relative anomaly events (runoff, resuspension, plumes)
Battery & powerBus voltageDaily minimum, state-of-health, data completeness
Reef soundscapeHydrophoneACI, BI, NDSI, H, ADI, an Acoustic Quality Score, and their trends
Dissolved oxygen · light · chlorophyllRoadmapPlanned additions to the modular sensing payload

Heat and bleaching

Thermal stress metrics

S.C.O.U.T. uses NOAA Coral Reef Watch's operational framework, the standard method for anticipating mass coral bleaching.

MMM
The Maximum Monthly Mean: the warmest of the site's climatological monthly mean temperatures, taken from a long baseline rather than the deployment. It is a required input.
HotSpot
max(0, daily SST − MMM), the amount by which a day is warmer than the climatological maximum.
Threshold
MMM + 1 °C. Sustained temperature above this drives stress.
DHW
The trailing 12-week sum of HotSpots ≥ 1 °C, in °C-weeks: Σ(HotSpot ≥ 1 over 84 days) ⁄ 7.
Bleaching threshold (MMM + 1 °C)MMMdaily SSTHotSpot accumulates → DHW
When daily temperature crosses the bleaching threshold, the excess accumulates as Degree Heating Weeks, a measure of the reef's heat exposure over time.

Warning tiers

Bleaching alert levels

NOAA Coral Reef Watch bleaching alert levels. Warning and above require a current HotSpot of at least 1 °C. If the water cools, accumulated DHW no longer raises the alert.
LevelConditionMeaning
No StressHotSpot ≤ 0At or below the climatological maximum
Bleaching Watch0 < HotSpot < 1 °CWarm, not yet stressful
Bleaching WarningHotSpot ≥ 1 °C, DHW < 4Risk of possible bleaching
Alert Level 1HotSpot ≥ 1 °C, 4 ≤ DHW < 8Risk of reef-wide bleaching
Alert Level 2HotSpot ≥ 1 °C, 8 ≤ DHW < 12Reef-wide bleaching; heat-sensitive corals die
Alert Level 3HotSpot ≥ 1 °C, 12 ≤ DHW < 16Risk of multi-species mortality
Alert Level 4HotSpot ≥ 1 °C, 16 ≤ DHW < 20Severe mortality, over half of corals
Alert Level 5HotSpot ≥ 1 °C, DHW ≥ 20Near-complete mortality, over 80% of corals
A field of stark-white bleached staghorn coral on the Great Barrier Reef, 2017.

The Ocean Agency / Ocean Image Bank

Bleached staghorn coral, Great Barrier Reef, 2017 — the kind of severe bleaching the thresholds above are meant to anticipate.

Reef soundscapes

Listening to the reef

A healthy reef is loud: snapping shrimp, fish choruses, and the movement of the reef itself. S.C.O.U.T. records the soundscape and reduces it to established bioacoustic indices, a biological signal that complements the temperature and turbidity record.

ACI

Acoustic Complexity Index

Captures the rapid intensity fluctuations typical of biological sound (fish and invertebrate calls) while ignoring steady background noise.

BI

Bioacoustic Index

The acoustic energy in the biophony frequency band, a proxy for how much biological sound the reef is producing.

NDSI

Soundscape Index

The balance between biological and anthropogenic frequency bands. A higher value means a more natural soundscape.

H

Acoustic Entropy

The evenness of acoustic energy across time and frequency. A richer, more even soundscape scores higher.

ADI

Acoustic Diversity Index

The diversity of occupied frequency bands, a Shannon index computed across the spectrum.

AQS

Acoustic Quality Score

A single reef-health score per session, from a PCA that combines the five indices into one number.

How the indices stay honest

A three-zone frequency model carves out a 200–1000 Hz mixed band and excludes it from NDSI, because the usual two-way split misclassified reef-fish choruses as anthropogenic noise. Median aggregation and an abiotic contamination filter keep the indices robust against wind- and rain-affected recordings at 1.5 m depth.

Health scoring uses a PCA fit within each session, so scores are not comparable across sessions; a separate global PCA drives longitudinal trend detection with modified Mann-Kendall tests.

Validation, and what stays on board

The pipeline is validated on a published reef dataset from Sesoko Island, Okinawa: eight monthly sessions from August 2017 to July 2018, a stand-in until S.C.O.U.T. records its own audio.

Raw audio never leaves the buoy. Waveform data is far too large for a 44-byte LoRa packet, so the buoy stores recordings on board and transmits only a 14-byte summary of each one: three band levels, an NDSI estimate, a snap count and a clip count.

Full bioacoustic methodology

Processing

The analysis pipeline

Every environmental stage runs on the Python standard library, so it runs anywhere Python 3 does, with nothing to install.

01 · Quality control

Quality control

The pipeline reports completeness against the 30-minute cadence, along with gaps, duplicates, and implausible readings. It does not drop or interpolate data.

02 · Daily aggregation

Daily aggregation

A day is given a mean temperature only if at least 50% of its samples are present. Sparse days keep their place on the calendar but contribute no temperature.

03 · Turbidity

Turbidity

Because the sensor is uncalibrated, it reports relative events rather than NTU, using an Iglewicz–Hoaglin modified z-score on the raw samples.

04 · Trends

Trends

A non-parametric, outlier-robust test for monotonic change, with an autocorrelation correction when available. Statistical power is limited early in a deployment.

Limitations

What the data can't tell you

Diurnal bias. CRW builds daily SST from nighttime satellite retrievals to suppress skin warming. A shallow surface buoy sees a real diurnal cycle, so its daily mean can run slightly warm. The pipeline reports daily coverage so this is auditable.

Gap bias. DHW over a window with missing days sums only the days present, which biases it low. The pipeline reports each day's window coverage.

MMM dependency. Results are only as good as the supplied climatology. For Hawaii, the MMM is read from the CRW 5 km product for the deployment cell.

Uncalibrated turbidity. Output is in ADC counts, not NTU, so S.C.O.U.T. reports relative events only. A calibration curve against turbidity standards is a documented follow-up.

Acoustic scores are relative. The indices track change within a deployment rather than an absolute measure of biodiversity, and they are validated against a single reference reef. S.C.O.U.T. has not yet recorded its own audio.

References

The literature these methods rest on

Thermal-stress and turbidity methods, then reef bioacoustics. Full citations with DOIs are in the methodology documents.

Thermal stress & turbidity

  • Liu, G. et al. (2014). Reef-scale thermal stress monitoring of coral ecosystems: new 5-km global products from NOAA Coral Reef Watch. Remote Sensing 6(11). doi.org/10.3390/rs61111579
  • Skirving, W. et al. (2020). CoralTemp and the Coral Reef Watch coral bleaching heat stress product suite v3.1. Remote Sensing 12(23), 3856. doi.org/10.3390/rs12233856
  • Hamed, K. H. & Rao, A. R. (1998). A modified Mann-Kendall trend test for autocorrelated data. Journal of Hydrology 204(1–4). doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(97)00125-X
  • Iglewicz, B. & Hoaglin, D. C. (1993). How to Detect and Handle Outliers. ASQC Quality Press.

Environmental telemetry methodology

Reef bioacoustics

  • Sueur, J. et al. (2008). Rapid acoustic survey for biodiversity appraisal (Acoustic Entropy). PLoS ONE 3(12), e4065. doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0004065
  • Pieretti, N., Farina, A. & Morri, D. (2011). A new methodology to infer the singing activity of an avian community: the Acoustic Complexity Index. Ecological Indicators 11(3). doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2010.11.005
  • Bertucci, F. et al. (2016). Acoustic indices provide information on the status of coral reefs. Scientific Reports 6, 33326. doi.org/10.1038/srep33326
  • Kasten, E. P. et al. (2012). The remote environmental assessment laboratory's acoustic library (NDSI). Ecological Informatics 12.
  • Villanueva-Rivera, L. J. et al. (2011). A primer of acoustic analysis for landscape ecologists (ADI). Landscape Ecology 26.
  • Boelman, N. T. et al. (2007). Multi-trophic invasion resistance in Hawaii: bioacoustics (Bioacoustic Index). Ecological Applications 17(8).

Coral bioacoustic methodology